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  <front>
    <journal-meta>
      <journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">102</journal-id>
      <journal-id journal-id-type="index">urn:lsid:arphahub.com:pub:73abe0ce-d97c-5d7c-bee5-b8e6e6fe6a17</journal-id>
      <journal-title-group>
        <journal-title xml:lang="en">ARPHA Preprints</journal-title>
        <abbrev-journal-title xml:lang="en">preprints</abbrev-journal-title>
      </journal-title-group>
      <publisher>
        <publisher-name>Pensoft Publishers</publisher-name>
      </publisher>
    </journal-meta>
    <article-meta>
      <article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.3897/arphapreprints.e105785</article-id>
      <article-id pub-id-type="publisher-id">105785</article-id>
      <article-categories>
        <subj-group subj-group-type="heading">
          <subject>Research Article</subject>
        </subj-group>
        <subj-group subj-group-type="biological_taxon">
          <subject>Pisces</subject>
        </subj-group>
        <subj-group subj-group-type="scientific_subject">
          <subject>DNA barcoding</subject>
          <subject>Molecular ecology</subject>
        </subj-group>
        <subj-group subj-group-type="geographical_area">
          <subject>British Isles</subject>
        </subj-group>
      </article-categories>
      <title-group>
        <article-title>Optimising species detection probability and sampling effort in lake fish eDNA surveys</article-title>
      </title-group>
      <contrib-group content-type="authors">
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes">
          <name name-style="western">
            <surname>Sellers</surname>
            <given-names>Graham S.</given-names>
          </name>
          <email xlink:type="simple">graham.s.sellers@gmail.com</email>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="A1">1</xref>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="no">
          <name name-style="western">
            <surname>Jerde</surname>
            <given-names>Christopher L</given-names>
          </name>
          <uri content-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8074-3466</uri>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="A2">2</xref>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="no">
          <name name-style="western">
            <surname>Harper</surname>
            <given-names>Lynsey R</given-names>
          </name>
          <uri content-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0923-1801</uri>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="A3">3</xref>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="no">
          <name name-style="western">
            <surname>Benucci</surname>
            <given-names>Marco</given-names>
          </name>
          <uri content-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2463-1467</uri>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="A4">4</xref>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="no">
          <name name-style="western">
            <surname>Di Muri</surname>
            <given-names>Cristina</given-names>
          </name>
          <uri content-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4072-0662</uri>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="A5">5</xref>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="A6">6</xref>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="no">
          <name name-style="western">
            <surname>Li</surname>
            <given-names>Jianlong</given-names>
          </name>
          <uri content-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0302-0061</uri>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="A7">7</xref>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="no">
          <name name-style="western">
            <surname>Peirson</surname>
            <given-names>Graeme</given-names>
          </name>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="A8">8</xref>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="no">
          <name name-style="western">
            <surname>Walsh</surname>
            <given-names>Kerry</given-names>
          </name>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="A8">8</xref>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="no">
          <name name-style="western">
            <surname>Hatton-Ellis</surname>
            <given-names>Tristan W.</given-names>
          </name>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="A9">9</xref>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="no">
          <name name-style="western">
            <surname>Duncan</surname>
            <given-names>Willie</given-names>
          </name>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="A10">10</xref>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="no">
          <name name-style="western">
            <surname>Duguid</surname>
            <given-names>Alistair</given-names>
          </name>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="A10">10</xref>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="no">
          <name name-style="western">
            <surname>Ottewell</surname>
            <given-names>Dave</given-names>
          </name>
          <uri content-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0009-0004-0411-8038</uri>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="A11">11</xref>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="no">
          <name name-style="western">
            <surname>Willby</surname>
            <given-names>Nigel</given-names>
          </name>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="A12">12</xref>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="no">
          <name name-style="western">
            <surname>Law</surname>
            <given-names>Alan</given-names>
          </name>
          <uri content-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5971-3214</uri>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="A12">12</xref>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="no">
          <name name-style="western">
            <surname>Bean</surname>
            <given-names>Colin</given-names>
          </name>
          <uri content-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3502-0995</uri>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="A13">13</xref>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="A14">14</xref>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="no">
          <name name-style="western">
            <surname>Winfield</surname>
            <given-names>Ian</given-names>
          </name>
          <uri content-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9296-5114</uri>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="A15">15</xref>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="no">
          <name name-style="western">
            <surname>Read</surname>
            <given-names>Daniel</given-names>
          </name>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="A16">16</xref>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="no">
          <name name-style="western">
            <surname>Lawson-Handley</surname>
            <given-names>Lori</given-names>
          </name>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="A1">1</xref>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="no">
          <name name-style="western">
            <surname>Hänfling</surname>
            <given-names>Bernd</given-names>
          </name>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="A17">17</xref>
        </contrib>
      </contrib-group>
      <aff id="A1">
        <label>1</label>
        <addr-line content-type="verbatim">University of Hull, Hull, United Kingdom</addr-line>
        <institution>University of Hull</institution>
        <addr-line content-type="city">Hull</addr-line>
        <country>United Kingdom</country>
      </aff>
      <aff id="A2">
        <label>2</label>
        <addr-line content-type="verbatim">University of California Santa Barbara, Santa Barbara, United States of America</addr-line>
        <institution>University of California Santa Barbara</institution>
        <addr-line content-type="city">Santa Barbara</addr-line>
        <country>United States of America</country>
      </aff>
      <aff id="A3">
        <label>3</label>
        <addr-line content-type="verbatim">The Freshwater Biological Association, Lakeside, United Kingdom</addr-line>
        <institution>The Freshwater Biological Association</institution>
        <addr-line content-type="city">Lakeside</addr-line>
        <country>United Kingdom</country>
      </aff>
      <aff id="A4">
        <label>4</label>
        <addr-line content-type="verbatim">Fera Science Ltd, York, United Kingdom</addr-line>
        <institution>Fera Science Ltd</institution>
        <addr-line content-type="city">York</addr-line>
        <country>United Kingdom</country>
      </aff>
      <aff id="A5">
        <label>5</label>
        <addr-line content-type="verbatim">National Research Council (CNR), Research Institute on Terrestrial Ecosystems (IRET), Lecce, Italy</addr-line>
        <institution>National Research Council (CNR), Research Institute on Terrestrial Ecosystems (IRET)</institution>
        <addr-line content-type="city">Lecce</addr-line>
        <country>Italy</country>
      </aff>
      <aff id="A6">
        <label>6</label>
        <addr-line content-type="verbatim">LifeWatch ERIC, Seville, Spain</addr-line>
        <institution>LifeWatch ERIC</institution>
        <addr-line content-type="city">Seville</addr-line>
        <country>Spain</country>
      </aff>
      <aff id="A7">
        <label>7</label>
        <addr-line content-type="verbatim">Hainan University, Haikou, China</addr-line>
        <institution>Hainan University</institution>
        <addr-line content-type="city">Haikou</addr-line>
        <country>China</country>
      </aff>
      <aff id="A8">
        <label>8</label>
        <addr-line content-type="verbatim">Environment Agency, Bristol, United Kingdom</addr-line>
        <institution>Environment Agency</institution>
        <addr-line content-type="city">Bristol</addr-line>
        <country>United Kingdom</country>
      </aff>
      <aff id="A9">
        <label>9</label>
        <addr-line content-type="verbatim">Natural Resources Wales, Bangor, United Kingdom</addr-line>
        <institution>Natural Resources Wales</institution>
        <addr-line content-type="city">Bangor</addr-line>
        <country>United Kingdom</country>
      </aff>
      <aff id="A10">
        <label>10</label>
        <addr-line content-type="verbatim">Scottish Environment Protection Agency, Stirling, United Kingdom</addr-line>
        <institution>Scottish Environment Protection Agency</institution>
        <addr-line content-type="city">Stirling</addr-line>
        <country>United Kingdom</country>
      </aff>
      <aff id="A11">
        <label>11</label>
        <addr-line content-type="verbatim">Natural England, York, United Kingdom</addr-line>
        <institution>Natural England</institution>
        <addr-line content-type="city">York</addr-line>
        <country>United Kingdom</country>
      </aff>
      <aff id="A12">
        <label>12</label>
        <addr-line content-type="verbatim">University of Stirling, Stirling, United Kingdom</addr-line>
        <institution>University of Stirling</institution>
        <addr-line content-type="city">Stirling</addr-line>
        <country>United Kingdom</country>
      </aff>
      <aff id="A13">
        <label>13</label>
        <addr-line content-type="verbatim">University of Glasgow, Glasgow, United Kingdom</addr-line>
        <institution>University of Glasgow</institution>
        <addr-line content-type="city">Glasgow</addr-line>
        <country>United Kingdom</country>
      </aff>
      <aff id="A14">
        <label>14</label>
        <addr-line content-type="verbatim">Scottish Natural Heritage, Clydebank, United Kingdom</addr-line>
        <institution>Scottish Natural Heritage</institution>
        <addr-line content-type="city">Clydebank</addr-line>
        <country>United Kingdom</country>
      </aff>
      <aff id="A15">
        <label>15</label>
        <addr-line content-type="verbatim">UK Centre for Ecology and Hydrology, Lancaster, United Kingdom</addr-line>
        <institution>UK Centre for Ecology and Hydrology</institution>
        <addr-line content-type="city">Lancaster</addr-line>
        <country>United Kingdom</country>
      </aff>
      <aff id="A16">
        <label>16</label>
        <addr-line content-type="verbatim">UK Centre for Ecology &amp; Hydrology, Wallingford, United Kingdom</addr-line>
        <institution>UK Centre for Ecology &amp; Hydrology</institution>
        <addr-line content-type="city">Wallingford</addr-line>
        <country>United Kingdom</country>
      </aff>
      <aff id="A17">
        <label>17</label>
        <addr-line content-type="verbatim">UHI Inverness, Inverness, United Kingdom</addr-line>
        <institution>UHI Inverness</institution>
        <addr-line content-type="city">Inverness</addr-line>
        <country>United Kingdom</country>
      </aff>
      <author-notes>
        <fn fn-type="corresp">
          <p>Corresponding author: Graham S. Sellers (<email xlink:type="simple">graham.s.sellers@gmail.com</email>).</p>
        </fn>
        <fn fn-type="edited-by">
          <p>Academic editor: </p>
        </fn>
      </author-notes>
      <pub-date pub-type="collection">
        <year>2023</year>
      </pub-date>
      <pub-date pub-type="epub">
        <day>02</day>
        <month>05</month>
        <year>2023</year>
      </pub-date>
      <volume>4</volume>
      <uri content-type="arpha" xlink:href="http://openbiodiv.net/9D1E3BC7-D2ED-52DE-AAD5-50098FE4DCD8">9D1E3BC7-D2ED-52DE-AAD5-50098FE4DCD8</uri>
      <history>
        <date date-type="received">
          <day>02</day>
          <month>05</month>
          <year>2023</year>
        </date>
        <date date-type="accepted">
          <day>02</day>
          <month>05</month>
          <year>2023</year>
        </date>
      </history>
      <permissions>
        <copyright-statement>Graham S. Sellers, Christopher L Jerde, Lynsey R Harper, Marco Benucci, Cristina Di Muri, Jianlong Li, Graeme Peirson, Kerry Walsh, Tristan W. Hatton-Ellis, Willie Duncan, Alistair Duguid, Dave Ottewell, Nigel Willby, Alan Law, Colin Bean, Ian Winfield, Daniel Read, Lori Lawson-Handley, Bernd Hänfling</copyright-statement>
        <license license-type="creative-commons-attribution" xlink:href="http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" xlink:type="simple">
          <license-p>This is an open access preprint distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY 4.0), which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited.</license-p>
        </license>
      </permissions>
      <abstract>
        <label>Abstract</label>
        <p>Environmental DNA (eDNA) metabarcoding is transforming biodiversity monitoring in aquatic environments where the method has repeatedly shown comparable or better performance than conventional approaches to fish monitoring. This method has been developed and deployed, primarily using shoreline sampling during the winter months, across 101 lakes in Great Britain alone, covering a wide spectrum of lake types and ecological quality. Previous analyses on a subset of these lakes indicated that 20 water samples per lake are sufficient to reliably estimate fish species richness, but it is unclear how reduced eDNA sampling effort affects richness, or other biodiversity estimates and metrics. As the number of samples strongly influences the cost of monitoring programmes, it is essential that sampling effort is optimised for a specific monitoring objective. The aim of this project was to explore the effect of reduced eDNA sampling effort on biodiversity metrics (namely species richness and community composition) using algorithmic and statistical resampling techniques. The results showed that reliable estimation of lake fish species richness could in fact usually be achieved with a much lower number of samples. For example, in almost 90% of lakes, 95% of complete fish richness could be detected with only 10 water samples, regardless of lake area. Similarly other measures of alpha and beta-diversity were not greatly affected by a reduction in sample size from 20 to 10 samples. We also found that there is no significant difference in detected species richness between shoreline and offshore sampling transects, allowing for simplified field logistics. This could potentially allow the effective sampling of a larger number of lakes within a given monitoring budget. However, rare species were more often missed with fewer samples, with potential implications for monitoring of invasive or endangered species. These results should inform the design of eDNA sampling strategies, so that these can be optimised to achieve specific monitoring goals.</p>
      </abstract>
    </article-meta>
  </front>
</article>
