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  <front>
    <journal-meta>
      <journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">102</journal-id>
      <journal-id journal-id-type="index">urn:lsid:arphahub.com:pub:73abe0ce-d97c-5d7c-bee5-b8e6e6fe6a17</journal-id>
      <journal-title-group>
        <journal-title xml:lang="en">ARPHA Preprints</journal-title>
        <abbrev-journal-title xml:lang="en">preprints</abbrev-journal-title>
      </journal-title-group>
      <publisher>
        <publisher-name>Pensoft Publishers</publisher-name>
      </publisher>
    </journal-meta>
    <article-meta>
      <article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.3897/arphapreprints.e116871</article-id>
      <article-id pub-id-type="publisher-id">116871</article-id>
      <article-categories>
        <subj-group subj-group-type="heading">
          <subject>Research Article</subject>
        </subj-group>
        <subj-group subj-group-type="biological_taxon">
          <subject>Spiraxidae</subject>
        </subj-group>
        <subj-group subj-group-type="scientific_subject">
          <subject>Species distribution modelling</subject>
        </subj-group>
        <subj-group subj-group-type="geological_era">
          <subject>Cenozoic</subject>
        </subj-group>
        <subj-group subj-group-type="geographical_area">
          <subject>Southern USA</subject>
        </subj-group>
      </article-categories>
      <title-group>
        <article-title>Climate change and jump dispersal drive invasion of the Rosy Wolfsnail (<italic>Euglandina rosea</italic>) in the United States</article-title>
      </title-group>
      <contrib-group content-type="authors">
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes">
          <name name-style="western">
            <surname>Mills</surname>
            <given-names>Dana</given-names>
          </name>
          <email xlink:type="simple">dhiggi10@vols.utk.edu</email>
          <uri content-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9235-5885</uri>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="A1">1</xref>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="no">
          <name name-style="western">
            <surname>McKinney</surname>
            <given-names>Michael</given-names>
          </name>
          <uri content-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6390-1795</uri>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="A1">1</xref>
        </contrib>
      </contrib-group>
      <aff id="A1">
        <label>1</label>
        <addr-line content-type="verbatim">The University of Tennessee, Knoxville, United States of America</addr-line>
        <institution>The University of Tennessee</institution>
        <addr-line content-type="city">Knoxville</addr-line>
        <country>United States of America</country>
      </aff>
      <author-notes>
        <fn fn-type="corresp">
          <p>Corresponding author: Dana Mills (<email xlink:type="simple">dhiggi10@vols.utk.edu</email>).</p>
        </fn>
        <fn fn-type="edited-by">
          <p>Academic editor: </p>
        </fn>
      </author-notes>
      <pub-date pub-type="collection">
        <year>2023</year>
      </pub-date>
      <pub-date pub-type="epub">
        <day>05</day>
        <month>12</month>
        <year>2023</year>
      </pub-date>
      <volume>4</volume>
      <uri content-type="arpha" xlink:href="http://openbiodiv.net/378C54D3-CFC3-5916-B167-EADC4B10DC4E">378C54D3-CFC3-5916-B167-EADC4B10DC4E</uri>
      <history>
        <date date-type="received">
          <day>05</day>
          <month>12</month>
          <year>2023</year>
        </date>
        <date date-type="accepted">
          <day>05</day>
          <month>12</month>
          <year>2023</year>
        </date>
      </history>
      <permissions>
        <copyright-statement>Dana Mills, Michael McKinney</copyright-statement>
        <license license-type="creative-commons-attribution" xlink:href="http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" xlink:type="simple">
          <license-p>This is an open access preprint distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY 4.0), which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited.</license-p>
        </license>
      </permissions>
      <abstract>
        <label>Abstract</label>
        <p>The rosy wolfsnail (<italic>Euglandina rosea</italic>) is a carnivorous, highly detrimental invader in many parts of the world. While its negative impact on endemic island mollusk populations has been well documented, little is known about its range expansion in North America, where populations are not constrained by oceanic barriers. In this study, we present three compelling lines of evidence indicating significant ongoing and projected geographic range expansion of <italic>E. rosea</italic>: 1) we analyze the current range using data from iNaturalist, 2) we report on the demographics and persistence of an isolated extra-limital satellite population in Nashville, Tennessee since its discovery in 2006 and 3) we employ a predictive ecological model that incorporates environmental variables indicating that the range expansion will continue into the central US well beyond its present range. The findings of this study shed light on the underlying mechanisms behind the invasion of this species. First, the invasion is frequently associated with jump dispersal events, which are often linked to horticultural and landscaping activities. Second, the establishment and proliferation of satellite populations are facilitated by common landscape management practices, such as irrigation, as well as the Urban Heat Island effect (UHI). Third, there is a possible synergistic interplay between the UHI effect and climate change which accelerates the range expansion via global warming.</p>
      </abstract>
    </article-meta>
  </front>
</article>
