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  <front>
    <journal-meta>
      <journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">102</journal-id>
      <journal-id journal-id-type="index">urn:lsid:arphahub.com:pub:73abe0ce-d97c-5d7c-bee5-b8e6e6fe6a17</journal-id>
      <journal-title-group>
        <journal-title xml:lang="en">ARPHA Preprints</journal-title>
        <abbrev-journal-title xml:lang="en">preprints</abbrev-journal-title>
      </journal-title-group>
      <publisher>
        <publisher-name>Pensoft Publishers</publisher-name>
      </publisher>
    </journal-meta>
    <article-meta>
      <article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.3897/arphapreprints.e138525</article-id>
      <article-id pub-id-type="publisher-id">138525</article-id>
      <article-categories>
        <subj-group subj-group-type="heading">
          <subject>Research Article</subject>
        </subj-group>
        <subj-group subj-group-type="biological_taxon">
          <subject>Plantae</subject>
        </subj-group>
        <subj-group subj-group-type="scientific_subject">
          <subject>Biological Invasions</subject>
          <subject>Ecological Modelling</subject>
          <subject>Ecology &amp; Environmental sciences</subject>
          <subject>Species distribution modelling</subject>
        </subj-group>
        <subj-group subj-group-type="geographical_area">
          <subject>World</subject>
        </subj-group>
      </article-categories>
      <title-group>
        <article-title>Out in the cold and warm! An antagonistic niche evolution of a global non-native shrub</article-title>
      </title-group>
      <contrib-group content-type="authors">
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes">
          <name name-style="western">
            <surname>Asth</surname>
            <given-names>Matheus Silva</given-names>
          </name>
          <email xlink:type="simple">asthmatheus@gmail.com</email>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="A1">1</xref>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="no">
          <name name-style="western">
            <surname>Alves Ozorio do Nascimento</surname>
            <given-names>Fellipe</given-names>
          </name>
          <uri content-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5230-9769</uri>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="A2">2</xref>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="no">
          <name name-style="western">
            <surname>Garcia Rodrigues</surname>
            <given-names>Renato</given-names>
          </name>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="A1">1</xref>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="no">
          <name name-style="western">
            <surname>Zenni</surname>
            <given-names>Rafael Dudeque</given-names>
          </name>
          <uri content-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4315-7986</uri>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="A3">3</xref>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes">
          <name name-style="western">
            <surname>Moura-Júnior</surname>
            <given-names>Edson</given-names>
          </name>
          <email xlink:type="simple">mourajunioreg@gmail.com</email>
          <uri content-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9029-7618</uri>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="A1">1</xref>
        </contrib>
      </contrib-group>
      <aff id="A1">
        <label>1</label>
        <addr-line content-type="verbatim">Universidade Federal do Vale do São Francisco, Petrolina, Brazil</addr-line>
        <institution>Universidade Federal do Vale do São Francisco</institution>
        <addr-line content-type="city">Petrolina</addr-line>
        <country>Brazil</country>
      </aff>
      <aff id="A2">
        <label>2</label>
        <addr-line content-type="verbatim">Ambipar Response Control Environmental Consulting S/A, Belo Horizonte, Brazil</addr-line>
        <institution>Ambipar Response Control Environmental Consulting S/A</institution>
        <addr-line content-type="city">Belo Horizonte</addr-line>
        <country>Brazil</country>
      </aff>
      <aff id="A3">
        <label>3</label>
        <addr-line content-type="verbatim">Universidade Federal de Lavras, Lavras, Brazil</addr-line>
        <institution>Universidade Federal de Lavras</institution>
        <addr-line content-type="city">Lavras</addr-line>
        <country>Brazil</country>
      </aff>
      <author-notes>
        <fn fn-type="corresp">
          <p>Corresponding authors: Matheus Silva Asth (<email xlink:type="simple">asthmatheus@gmail.com</email>), Edson Moura-Júnior (<email xlink:type="simple">mourajunioreg@gmail.com</email>).</p>
        </fn>
        <fn fn-type="edited-by">
          <p>Academic editor: </p>
        </fn>
      </author-notes>
      <pub-date pub-type="collection">
        <year>2024</year>
      </pub-date>
      <pub-date pub-type="epub">
        <day>04</day>
        <month>10</month>
        <year>2024</year>
      </pub-date>
      <volume>5</volume>
      <uri content-type="arpha" xlink:href="http://openbiodiv.net/59990412-BE5D-55D1-8707-B4EAE40CE886">59990412-BE5D-55D1-8707-B4EAE40CE886</uri>
      <history>
        <date date-type="received">
          <day>03</day>
          <month>10</month>
          <year>2024</year>
        </date>
        <date date-type="accepted">
          <day>03</day>
          <month>10</month>
          <year>2024</year>
        </date>
      </history>
      <permissions>
        <copyright-statement>Matheus Silva Asth, Fellipe Alves Ozorio do Nascimento, Renato Garcia Rodrigues, Rafael Dudeque Zenni, Edson Moura-Júnior</copyright-statement>
        <license license-type="creative-commons-attribution" xlink:href="http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" xlink:type="simple">
          <license-p>This is an open access preprint distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY 4.0), which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited.</license-p>
        </license>
      </permissions>
      <abstract>
        <label>Abstract</label>
        <p>Climatic similarities between native and invaded areas are fundamental conditions for the establishment and dissemination of invasive non-native species. Preventive measures to indicate potential areas for biological invasions are crucial for managing invasion risks. This measure assumes that species maintain their environmental conditions conserved between native and invaded areas. However, some species can quickly change their realized niche when exposed to previously unexperienced environmental conditions. Here, we distinguish between these types of changes in the climatic niche of the <italic>Nicotiana glauca</italic>, a global non-native species, employing multivariate analyses to compare niche overlap between the native (Argentina and Bolivia) and invaded areas (North America, Mediterranean, Northeast South America, Southern Africa and Australia). We found evidence that the realized niche occupied by <italic>N. glauca</italic> in its native area does not overlap with the invaded area in the Caatinga (Northeast Brazil) and the Mediterranean regions. The niche in these invaded areas exhibits both warmer climates with lower daily and annual temperature amplitude (Caatinga) and colder, drier climates (Mediterranean). Relevant portions of the realized niche in the invaded areas of <italic>N. glauca</italic> in the Mediterranean and the Caatinga regions expanded compared to the climatic space of the native area, suggesting the species enlarged its realized niche in these invaded locations. Therefore, <italic>N. glauca</italic> has the ability to inhabit niches across a diverse climatic range that cannot be solely predicted based on the native distribution, owing to the evolution of niche. Thus, due to its broad climatic plasticity, populations of <italic>N. glauca</italic> worldwide should be regarded as a potential threat to biodiversity conservation by scientists and government environmental agencies. Finally, we suggest that when using predictive methods to identify potential areas for invasive non-native species, both invaded and native climatic spaces should be carefully considered.</p>
      </abstract>
      <funding-group>
        <funding-statement>Ministério da Integração e Desenvolvimento Regional (MIDR)</funding-statement>
      </funding-group>
    </article-meta>
  </front>
</article>
