Corresponding author: Martina Viti ( martinamarei.viti@gmail.com ) © Martina Viti, Henrique Miguel Pereira. This is an open access preprint distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY 4.0), which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited. Citation:
Viti M, Pereira HM (2026) Monitoring plan and set of indicators to assess network effectiveness. ARPHA Preprints. https://doi.org/10.3897/arphapreprints.e192870 |
The implementation of the Trans-European Nature Network (TEN-N) requires a robust monitoring framework capable of tracking biodiversity trends across its extension and evaluating the effectiveness of protection and management actions that the network entails. This report contributes to this objective by identifying optimal strategies for the spatial design of an EU-wide biodiversity monitoring network, evaluating alternative stratification frameworks, and assessing how existing monitoring infrastructures can be integrated into a TEN-N monitoring system.
The report comprises three analytical components and a cross-cutting synthesis.
Chapter 1 assesses how alternative spatial sampling designs and network sizes influence the performance of an ex novo EU-wide biodiversity monitoring. Results show that network size is the dominant determinant of monitoring performance, particularly for common species and habitats, with performance converging across sampling designs at very small and very large network sizes. However, stratified sampling consistently outperformed random and grid-based approaches at intermediate network sizes, offering higher efficiency by maximising representativeness for a given level of effort. The importance of spatial design increased markedly when focusing on rare species and habitats. In these cases, stratified sampling improved coverage by up to 10% compared to alternative designs, reflecting its ability to distribute sampling effort more evenly across environmental conditions where rare entities are more likely to occur. Even under high sampling effort, however, rare species remained substantially more difficult to capture than rare habitats, highlighting inherent limits of probabilistic designs for monitoring rare biodiversity. Beyond representativeness, Chapter 1 also shows that no sampling design fully captures the full range of interacting anthropogenic pressures relevant for trend attribution, although stratified designs perform best overall. Climate and land-use gradients were most readily represented, while pressures with highly localised patterns, such as biological invasions, were consistently underrepresented. Together, these findings indicate that a stratified core monitoring network provides the most efficient foundation for EU-wide monitoring, but should be complemented by targeted modules to adequately address rare entities and complex pressure gradients.
Building on these results, Chapter 2 examines whether refining the definition of strata, rather than changing the allocation method, can further improve monitoring performance. Alternative stratification frameworks were tested, based on combinations of environmental conditions, land protection intensity and ecological connectivity. Results show that modifying the stratification framework does not substantially alter overall network performance, with environmental stratification remaining the best-performing option. However, integrating conservation-relevant layers into the stratification framework enables the monitoring system to more directly address TEN-N assessment needs, particularly by facilitating systematic comparisons across gradients of protection and ecological connectivity. The choice of stratification layers therefore represents a key design decision with important implications for TEN-N monitoring.
Chapter 3 assesses how existing pan-European biodiversity monitoring schemes can support a future TEN-N monitoring network. While these schemes represent among the best extensive monitoring efforts across the European Union, spatial gaps remain, particularly in Northern, Southern and Eastern Europe, as well as strong representativeness gaps of rare habitats and species. The comparison of existing monitoring schemes with ex novo monitoring networks of sites distributed across environmental strata suggested that an ex novo network could achieve comparable results with substantially less monitoring effort and cost. However, strategic gap-filling and expansion of the existing network could address the monitoring needs of rare entities. These results reinforce the need for targeted monitoring modules to adequately address the monitoring needs of rare species.
The synthesis presented in Chapter 4 integrates insights from across the research and outlines implications for TEN-N monitoring. Two key principles emerge as essential:
Assessing TEN-N effectiveness requires monitoring across conservation efforts;
Existing monitoring schemes provide a foundation but must be complemented by a core stratified network and targeted monitoring modules.
Together, the results provide an evidence base for designing a representative TEN-N monitoring network. This report therefore offers practical guidance for the European Commission and Member States in developing an EU-wide biodiversity monitoring strategy that supports the implementation, evaluation, and long-term success of the Trans-European Nature Network.